Consider a risky portfolio that delivers an end-of-year cash flow of either $70,000 or $195,000, each outcome having a probability of 0.5. An alternative risk-free investment in T-bills yields a 4% return. If you require a risk premium of 8%, what amount would you be willing to pay for the portfolio?

Business · High School · Thu Feb 04 2021

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To calculate the amount you would be willing to pay for the risky portfolio, given the required risk premium of 8%, we first need to calculate the expected return of the portfolio and then discount it at the required rate of return (which includes the risk-free rate plus the risk premium).

1. Calculate the expected return (ER) of the risky portfolio: ER = (Probability of low outcome * Cash flow of low outcome) + (Probability of high outcome * Cash flow of high outcome) ER = (0.5 * $70,000) + (0.5 * $195,000) ER = $35,000 + $97,500 ER = $132,500

2. Determine the required rate of return: Required rate of return = Risk-free rate + Risk premium Required rate of return = 4% + 8% Required rate of return = 12% (or 0.12 in decimal terms)

3. Calculate the present value (PV) of the expected cash flow using the required rate of return: PV = ER / (1 + Required rate of return) PV = $132,500 / (1 + 0.12) PV = $132,500 / 1.12 PV = $118,303.57 (approximately)

You would be willing to pay $118,303.57 for the portfolio. This is the price at which the expected return from the portfolio, discounted at the rate equal to the risk-free rate plus your required risk premium, equals the expected cash flow.

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