A test consists of 10 true or false questions. To pass, a student must correctly answer at least eight questions. What is the probability that a student will pass the test if they guess on each question?
Mathematics · High School · Thu Feb 04 2021
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To solve for the probability that a student will pass by randomly guessing true or false on each question, we can use the binomial probability formula:
P(X = k) = (n choose k) * (p^k) * ((1-p)^(n-k))
where: - P(X = k) is the probability of getting exactly k successes in n trials. - "n choose k" is the binomial coefficient, calculated as n! / (k! * (n-k)!). - p is the probability of success on a single trial. - (1-p) is the probability of failure on a single trial. - n is the number of trials (questions). - k is the number of successful trials (correct answers).
Since the test consists of 10 questions, n = 10. For true or false questions, the probability of guessing correctly (p) is 1/2.
Passing the test means getting at least 8 correct answers (k ≥ 8). So, we need to calculate the probability of getting exactly 8, exactly 9, and exactly 10 correct answers and then add these probabilities together.
P(pass) = P(X = 8) + P(X = 9) + P(X = 10)
Let's start by calculating P(X = 8):
P(X = 8) = (10 choose 8) * (1/2)^8 * (1/2)^(10-8) = 45 * (1/2)^8 * (1/2)^2 = 45 * (1/2)^10
Now, calculate P(X = 9):
P(X = 9) = (10 choose 9) * (1/2)^9 * (1/2)^(10-9) = 10 * (1/2)^9 * (1/2)^1 = 10 * (1/2)^10
Finally, calculate P(X = 10):
P(X = 10) = (10 choose 10) * (1/2)^10 = 1 * (1/2)^10
Now, add these probabilities together to get the total probability of passing:
P(pass) = P(X = 8) + P(X = 9) + P(X = 10) = 45 * (1/2)^10 + 10 * (1/2)^10 + 1 * (1/2)^10 = (45 + 10 + 1) * (1/2)^10 = 56 * (1/2)^10
P(pass) = 56 / 2^10 = 56 / 1024 = 7 / 128 ≈ 0.0547
So, the probability that the student will pass the test by guessing is approximately 0.0547 or 5.47%.